Megawatt economics · data as of Sep 29, 2026

What a Megawatt Earns

Annual revenue per megawatt of electrical load for 21 uses of power, from GPU clouds and chip fabs to smelters, bitcoin and hydrogen; the plant each one ties up per megawatt; and who is actually asking the grid for capacity.

Exhibit 1

Per megawatt, GPU clouds book about what a steel minimill earns, $7–25M a year, while Blackwell spot quotes reach chip-fab levels. Ad-and-software platforms earn about $75M; bitcoin and green hydrogen barely cover the power bill.

Annual revenue per megawatt of electrical load, $M per MW-year, log scale. FY2025 unless noted.

  • Data centers & AI
  • Chips, batteries & polysilicon
  • Heavy industry, water & hydrogen
  • Low-energy factories, for reference
  • Company or price point
  • Theoretical or trailing
  1. Company rows: revenue ÷ average load (annual MWh ÷ 8,760), same fiscal year. GPU-cloud and frontier-lab rows divide by reported capacity, which exceeds average load. vast.ai and contract rows are per MW of IT load at full use, about 20–30% more than per MW drawn from the grid.
  2. vast.ai rows: medians of verified, available offers on Sep 29, 2026 (9:53 pm PT), in $ per GPU-hour, divided by NVIDIA DGX system power per GPU (A100 0.81 kW, H100 and H200 1.28 kW, B200 1.79 kW, B300 1.75 kW). Per MW, a B300 on-demand quote earns 3.7× an H100 quote, while vast.ai's DLPerf score rates the B300 only 2.4× faster, so these rows normalize by power, not DLPerf. Samples are thin for H200 (3 offers) and B300 (5).
  3. Bottom-up rows: (8,760 MWh ÷ MWh per unit) × market price. Revenue is gross, so feedstock such as scrap and alumina carries much of the value in metals.
  4. Hollow dots: DeepSeek's figure if every token were billed at R1 prices (it says actual revenue is much lower); Micron's trailing 12 months to May 2026 over FY25 load; Nebius short-term deals ($40–50M).
  5. Gray band: selling the power at 2025 ERCOT, MISO and PJM hub prices plus PJM capacity ($0.33–0.65M), up to buying it at the US industrial rate ($0.76M at 8.6¢/kWh in 2025; $0.86M at 9.8¢ in Jul 2026). The right column divides the 8.6¢ bill by each row's revenue.

Source: company 10-K, 20-F, 10-Q and sustainability reports; OpenAI (Jan 2026); DeepSeek (Feb 2025); Nebius, IREN and CoreWeave filings; vast.ai marketplace quotes (Sep 29, 2026); NVIDIA DGX specifications; CBRE; Hashrate Index; Cambridge CBECI; IAI; World Bank (LME); CRU; Intratec; IEA; EIA; PJM. Analysis by Claude, Sep 29, 2026.

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How the numbers were built

Every company figure divides a year's revenue by the same year's electricity use, turned into an average load: annual MWh ÷ 8,760. Revenue and gross PP&E for US filers come from SEC XBRL data; electricity comes from each company's sustainability report. Where a company only discloses capacity (CoreWeave's active power, OpenAI's compute), the chart uses capacity and says so.

Revenue per dollar of plant divides the same revenue by gross property, plant and equipment at fiscal year-end. One over that ratio is the number of years of revenue it takes to equal the plant.

Bottom-up rows multiply the output one megawatt makes in a year by a market price: 631 t of aluminum at 13.88 MWh/t, 13,036 t of steel at 0.672 MWh/t, 168 t of hydrogen at 52 kWh/kg, 2.5 million m³ of desalinated water at 3.5 kWh/m³, and 57.8 PH/s of bitcoin hashrate at 17.3 J/TH.

What the ratio leaves out

Sources

Data centers & AI

Chips, batteries & polysilicon

Heavy industry, water, hydrogen & power

Built by Claude for a thread on quoting factories in dollars per megawatt. Figures are public disclosures and market prices as of Sep 29, 2026; nothing here is investment advice.